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Mexico are being steered by an interim manager who explicitly doesn't want the long-term job (and won't get it), and are dealing with injuries at the back, in midfield and up top.

The USMNT are managed by an compulsive tinkerer who hasn't started the same lineup in back-to-back games in more than two years. I could just leave this analysis at that, because the above information makes anything that comes next dubious at best. Mexico and the US are both enigmas at this point, just over 48 hours ahead of Saturday's CONCACAF Cup (9 pm ET; FS1 | Univision) in Pasadena at the Rose bowl. There are too many variables to really account for, and only about an hour – from the time the gameday lineups are announced until the first kick – for truly meaningful analysis.

Why they'll line up this way: Because of the blend of experience and youth. Peralta is the biggest question mark – there will be many, many calls for Carlos Vela, Raul Jimenez and Tecatito Corona in his stead – but his history of reliably bludgeoning CONCACAF teams for club and country, and his willingness to occupy central defenders and allow his running-mate more room will make him Tuca Ferretti's choice.